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Grande Strategy

Is Pakistan on the Brink of Collapse?

According to David Kilcullen, Pakistan is on the brink of collapse in 1 to 6 months.

M. Hussain

David Kilcullen, a key advisor to General Petraeus during the troop surge in Iraq, comments on the state of Pakistan and gives rare insight as to how defense planners in the US are looking at the situation there. In an interview with the Washington Post, Kilcullen says he believes Pakistan is on the brink of collapsing. That Pakistan is a state within a state, that with nuclear weapons, a large army, 173 million people and Al-Qaeda's presence, collapse of the government could result in catastrophe for the international community.

Other than claiming that two-thirds of the country is not under government control, Kilcullen also claims that The Pakistani military and police and intelligence service are not following the civilian government, and claims that they are essentially a rogue state within a state. The prospect of collapse, and of Al-Qaeda taking control of nuclear weapons is the picture he paints with the stark warning that this could happen in 1 to 6 months.

Vision Without Glasses


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